01
Jun
Let’s go back in time (to understand the future)
Y’all just halfway thoughts…Not worth the back of my mind…But to understand the future we have to go back in time.
Ok, ok… I have to give credit to Pitbull for his annoyingly catchy “Back in Time” lyrics for Men in Black. Driving home from the office yesterday, I thought about how the banking space continues to change while his song played on two different radio stations. Inspired to get out of the car, I re-read various posts on this site — and our company’s — to see how things were twelve months ago. A few pieces caught my eye; one in particular from “just” six months ago. In December, I checked in from the NASDAQ MarketSite on the heels of Bank Director’s first Boardroom Forum on Lending. As you can see in this :36 clip, I reported a note of optimism blanketed the event — a welcome change from previous events marked by pessimism and a sense of fatigue.
While I’d be hard-pressed to describe today’s financial environment as robust, certainly many banks enjoy brighter prospects than at this time last year. And to go back three years? Fuhgeddaboudit.
Looking back is really helping me gear up for next week’s big Bank Audit Committee conference at the J.W. Marriott in Chicago. At this time last year, our good friend John Duffy (the Vice-Chairman of investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods) gave his update on the state of the banking industry. It wasn’t a pretty picture. I was reminded that credit quality had improved — but non-performing assets remained high. Deposit growth had slowed dramatically and even the biggest banks, which were more aggressive than the regional banks in terms of provisioning for bad loans, didn’t have much room for growth.
So what to expect next week? A very good question. While we will be focusing on important accounting, risk, and regulatory issues facing bank boards of public and private financial institutions, I’m intereted to guage the general mood of attendees. As they are exclusively officers and directors, I put real stock in their outlook on opportunities — and concerns.
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If you’re interested, I’ll be blogging and tweeting from Chicago (#bacc12) and will share what I hear — Pitbull lyrics TBD.






